A year after the start of Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, Western analyses point to a war of attrition years in the making. The decisions of the Kremlin dictator, the moral author of the massacres in Ukraine, have changed Europe’s security geometry for decades. On the brink of war, Romania is preparing for the toughest test in recent history: a possible, even probable, military crisis provoked by Russia in Transnistria.
In the long term, the biggest strategic change in the region caused by the Russian invasion is America’s return to Europe. The US is the main supplier of arms, ammunition and intelligence to Ukraine in the conflict with Russia, and Washington has consistently set the tone for supporting Kiev.
What’s more, the US has made rapid strides in the past year to defend NATO states on its eastern flank, including Romania. The US government is now working on a strategy for the Black Sea, which will change the region’s chessboard for decades to come. Basically, Putin has unwittingly slowed the total shift of US attention to China and Southeast Asia and has quickly put Eastern Europe back on Washington’s agenda.
For Romania, this development is a win-win.
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